Trump Approval Still Above His Entire First Term As Democrats Cling To Narrow Congressional Ballot Lead
https://dailytorch.com/2025/05/trump-approval-still-above-his-entire-first-term-as-democrats-cling-to-narrow-congressional-ballot-lead/

“I am confident that we will bring Trump’s popularity numbers and strength down if we keep at it and keep at it and keep at it.” That was Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) on March 19 on PBS News Hour outlining the singular goal of Democrats who are in opposition to President Donald Trump and Republicans who have House and Senate majorities — to “bring down” the President’s approval ratings and hurt Republicans in the 2026 Congressional midterms. President Trump’s approval rating, currently averaging 45.2 percent according to the latest national average by RealClearPolling is still higher than his entire first term of office. 51.7 percent disapprove. In 2017, Trump’s approval averaged 40.5 percent, with disapproval averaging 54 percent. In 2018, it averaged 42.5 percent, with disapproval averaging 53.2 percent. In 2019, it averaged 43.4 percent, with disapproval averaging 53.3 percent. And in 2020, it averaged 44.4 percent, with disapproval averaging 53.1 percent. As far as the 2026 midterms go — again, Trump in his second term can constitutionally no longer face voters — Democrats only have a 2.3 percentage point lead in the generic Congressional ballot, 46.1 percent to 43.8 percent. In 2017 leading into the 2018 midterms, in contrast, Democrats had an 8.2 percentage point lead in the generic Congressional ballot, 44.3 percent to 36.1 percent. And in 2005 leading into the 2006 midterms, Democrats had a 7.3 percentage point lead, 45.7 percent to 38.4 percent. In short, Trump and Republicans in fact are currently having some of their best numbers while Democrats in fact are currently having some of their worst numbers.

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After Trump’s First 100 Days, The Best Is Yet To Come On Taxes, Trade And Immigration As President Promises Biden ‘Overhang’ Will Pass
https://dailytorch.com/2025/04/after-trumps-first-100-days-the-best-is-yet-to-come-on-taxes-trade-and-immigration-as-president-promises-biden-overhang-will-pass/

President Donald Trump’s reacted on Truth Social on April 30 to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showing a slight 0.3 percent, annualized decrease of the Gross Domestic Product in the first quarter of 2025 that ended on March 31 prior to the President’s April 2 announcement of reciprocal tariffs suggesting that there is a “Biden overhang” in the economy. He’s got a point. Under former President Joe Biden, the U.S. economy saw peak inflation at 9.1 percent in June 2022, and subsequent, unsurprising increase of unemployment from 5.7 million in January 2023 to 7 million now, a 1.3 million increase. The first signals of a slowdown or recession came in 2022 when the spread between 10-year and 2-year treasuries first inverted, and then the signal for higher unemployment came in 2023 when the inversion began narrowing until the yield curve normalized in 2024. Interest rates are dropping, with 10-year treasuries down to 4.18 percent as of this writing amid a flight to safety as the dollar strengthens. Oil is trading down to $59.53 and so too are other commodities dropping. All of this projects not just lower inflation expectations, but lower growth expectations on the horizon. So, the U.S. economy could be in for a bumpy ride in the near-term. But as President Trump stated, “This will take a while…” but that after that, “when the boom begins, it will be like no other.”

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The Supreme Court Upheld Expedited Removals Of Illegal Aliens Without Hearings 7-2 In 2020. But Is It A Suitable Mechanism For Mass Deportations?
https://dailytorch.com/2025/04/the-supreme-court-upheld-expedited-removals-of-illegal-aliens-without-hearings-7-2-in-2020-but-is-it-a-suitable-mechanism-for-mass-deportations/

The U.S. Supreme Court upheld by a 7-2 majority expedited removals of illegal aliens without a hearing under the Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant Responsibility Act of 1996 in the case Department of Homeland Security v. Thuraissigiam in 2020. Writing for the majority, Justice Samuel Alito noted that the entire intent of the legislation was to expedite removals: “In 1996, when Congress enacted the Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant Responsibility Act (IIRIRA), 110 Stat. 3009–546, it crafted a system for weeding out patently meritless claims and expeditiously removing the aliens making such claims from the country. It was Congress’s judgment that detaining all asylum seekers until the full-blown removal process is completed would place an unacceptable burden on our immigration system and that releasing them would present an undue risk that they would fail to appear for removal proceedings.” Every year, there are over 20,000 such expedited removals according to U.S. Customs and Border Protection data compiled by the Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse of such inadmissibles without any hearing as Congress provided: 23,957 in 2014, 25,967 in 2015, 30,346 in 2016, 32,941 in 2017, 30,988 in 2018, 30,852 in 2019, 21,578 in 2020, 23,262 in 2021, 21,978 in 2022, 21,519 in 2023 and 21,998 in 2024.And on due process? The Court ruled it did not apply to aliens without long-standing connections in the U.S., Alito wrote, stating, “the Court long ago held that Congress is entitled to set the conditions for an alien’s lawful entry into this country and that, as a result, an alien at the threshold of initial entry cannot claim any greater rights under the Due Process Clause.” At the time, nobody could have fully anticipated — except perhaps for President Donald Trump — that when former President Joe Biden took office he would open the flood gates for illegal aliens, with a record 10.8 million border encounters of illegal aliens from 2021 to 2024 according to data compiled by the Office of Immigration Statistics, most of whom were released into the U.S. without any legal status. If ever there was a case for expedited removals as Congress intended, it is now.

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President Trump Says It’s Time To Get Busy: ‘I’ll Be Known As The Fertilization President!’ But Will The Baby Bonuses Be Big Enough?
http://dailytorch.com/2025/04/president-trump-says-its-time-to-get-busy-ill-be-known-as-the-fertilization-president-but-will-the-baby-bonuses-be-big-enough/

President Donald Trump says it’s time to get busy. Speaking at a Women’s History Month event in Washington, D.C. on March 26, President Trump said that in the budget reconciliation bill that the House and Senate are working on, there will be incentives to boost fertility, stating, “we’re going to have tremendous … goodies in the bag for women, too… between the fertilization and all of the other things that we’re talking about… it’s going to be great.” Trump added, “Fertilization… I’m still very proud of it. I don’t care. I’ll be known as the fertilization president that — that’s okay. That’s not bad… I’ve been called much worse. Actually, I like it.” Since birth control was approved by the FDA in 1960, when there were 3.65 births per woman, the U.S. has not been replacing its population. The latest birth rate numbers from the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) show just 1.61 live births per woman in 2023, the lowest ever on record in the U.S. In the meantime, almost 1 million Americans over the age of 65 without a disability are leaving the labor force every year and now total 33.2 million. Anyone looking for answers to the ballooning $36 trillion national debt need look no further. If there had been an extra 77.2 million taxpayers, there might be $7.2 trillion of budget receipts instead of just $4.9 trillion in the current baseline, assuming the current $29,200 per person in the labor force ratio today held. Instead of a $1.9 trillion budget deficit, there might be a $325 billion budget surplus, and instead of $36 trillion, the national debt today might be more like $5 trillion.

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Supreme Court Shuts Down The Executive Branch In Sweeping Ruling Without A Hearing Barring All Enemy Alien Deportations, Guaranteeing Open Borders Forever:
https://dailytorch.com/2025/04/supreme-court-shuts-down-the-executive-branch-in-sweeping-ruling-without-a-hearing-barring-all-enemy-alien-deportations-guaranteeing-open-borders-forever/

In the dead of night, the Supreme Court on April 19 entered a sweeping order barring all further deportations by President Donald Trump and the federal government under the 1798 Alien Enemy Act: “The Government is directed not to remove any member of the putative class of detainees from the United States until further order of this Court.” The apparent 7-2 to ruling — Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas dissented — effectively blocking President Trump from acting on his March 15 proclamation that Venezuela and its proxies including the criminal drug cartel terrorist gang Tren de Aragua are “perpetrating, attempting, and threatening an invasion or predatory incursion against the territory of the United States.” And President Trump has thus far treated the invasion as a military matter in his Jan. 20 national border emergency declaration under the National Emergencies Act including the deployment of the U.S. military under 10 U.S. Code Sec. 12302, “Ready Reserve,” which allows up to 1 million active duty military to be used and to finish construction of the southern border wall under 50 U.S. Code Sec. 1631 and 10 U.S. Code. Sec. 2808, which allows for military construction authorities to be invoked in the event of a national emergency. Trump also declared Tren de Aragua, MS-13 and other criminal gangs and drug cartels as terrorist organizations on Jan. 20 by executive order in accordance with 8 U.S. Code Sec. 1189, “Designation of foreign terrorist organizations.” However, despite the President militarizing the operation and naming the terrorist targets as it relates to the invasion that he singularly has the power to proclaim and to interdict, the Supreme Court has suspended enforcement of the law under the Alien Enemy Act — ostensibly so that every invader and every illegal alien being targeted by President Trump for mass deportation (let’s just cut to the chase, this is about preventing Trump from implementing his removal program writ large) will get a “due process” hearing under the Fifth Amendment. In other words, regardless of whatever laws Congress has already passed to see to the expedited removals of illegal, inadmissible aliens by the executive branch, the Court appears to be setting the predicate that as a constitutional matter, all immigration laws allowing for expedited removals without hearings are now unenforceable.

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Democrats Lead Generic Congressional Ballot, Just Like They Did In 2018 And 2006 With Republican In The White House:
https://dailytorch.com/2025/04/democrats-lead-generic-congressional-ballot-just-like-they-did-in-2018-and-2006-with-republican-in-the-white-house/

Don’t look now, but believe it or not, just three months into office, we have already experienced 6 percent of President Donald Trump’s second term. By the end of the year, it will have been 25 percent and in 2026, the country will be once again swept up on the political cycle of periodic elections with the Congressional midterms looming. Right now, the generic Congressional ballot shows Democrats ahead in the national average of polls taken for 2026 compiled by RealClearPolling.com, with Democrats leading 45.8 percent to 44.3 percent. All six of the past six polls taken have shown Democrats leading the race. Even at this early stage — Republicans are still working on their tax cut and border security budget bill for crying out loud — it is in fact not too early to begin polling for the midterms, and sure enough pollsters are already taking up the task. That is because the usual, reliable measure for who’s ahead is the generic Congressional ballot, simply asking voters which party they intend to support in the next round of elections. How reliable? The average of generic Congressional ballot polls all predicted the winner of the 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018 and 2022 midterm elections and can even predict the rare, unusual event where the White House incumbent party is going to win the midterm elections. In midterm elections dating back to 1906 through 2022, the party that occupied the White House lost seats in the House 27 out of 30 times, or 90 percent of the time, and in years with losses those averaged 34 seats. It was only overcome in 1934, 1998 and 2002, with the Great Depression, Monica Lewinsky and the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks acting as exigent events. Another edge case is 1962, wherein Democrats only lost three seats, and came within weeks of the Cuban Missile Crisis being resolved. The general rule favoring the opposition in midterms is all James Madison’s constitutional scheme of periodic elections, explicitly designed to frustrate the ability of majorities to get things done.

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Trump Secures Border As Southwest Border Encounters Down to Record Low 11,000 For Second Month In A Row As President Enforces The Law:
https://dailytorch.com/2025/04/trump-secures-border-as-southwest-border-encounters-down-to-record-low-11000-for-second-month-in-a-row-as-president-enforces-the-law/

Encounters on the southwest border of the U.S. with Mexico dropped to a record low of 11,017, according to the latest data by U.S Customs and Border Protection, the lowest ever on record in data dating all the way back to 2000. This was the second month in a row at these record lows since President Trump began his second term, with encounters on the border in February coming in at 11,709. Compared to a year ago, in March 2024, there were 189,359 encounters on the southwest border, and so being down to 11,017, that is a 94 percent decrease, proving to the American people and the entire world that border security is about the political will of the President more than anything else, with Trump declaring a national border emergency on Jan. 20 under the National Emergencies Act, deploying the military to the border, resuming construction of the southern border wall, declaring gangs and drug cartels to be terrorist organizations and expediting their removal under the Alien Enemy Act and by the Attorney General. As it turns out, it takes a president to enforce the laws Congress has already enacted, putting the lie to former President Joe Biden that he “needed” Congress to do something extra.

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Trump Moves Phones, Computers, Chips To 20 Percent China Tariff ‘Bucket’ As National Security Investigation Into Electronics Trade Continues:
https://dailytorch.com/2025/04/trump-moves-phones-computers-chips-to-20-percent-china-tariff-bucket-as-national-security-investigation-into-electronics-trade-continues/

“These products are subject to the existing 20% Fentanyl Tariffs, and they are just moving to a different Tariff ‘bucket.’” That was President Donald Trump on Truth Social on April 13, clarifying that technology products manufactured in China including phones, computers and chips and other semiconductors will be subjected to the 20 percent tariff to foster greater cooperation in combating fentanyl shipments to the U.S. that the President levied on March 3. In addition, the President stated that the investigation into the electronics supply chain on national security grounds — hinting at potential additional tariffs under 19 U.S.C. Sec. 1862, Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 — that Trump launched on Jan. 20 is ongoing. Trump wrote, “We are taking a look at Semiconductors and the WHOLE ELECTRONICS SUPPLY CHAIN in the upcoming National Security Tariff Investigations.” Here, Trump is in part granting what appears to be temporary a reprieve to U.S. companies like Apple and Dell that are deeply invested in China, who were initially being subjected to the 145 percent tariff — the 20 percent fentanyl cooperation tariff plus the 125 percent overall tariff — that Trump put into place on April 9. But as the Section 232 national security investigations commence by U.S. departments and agencies including the Departments of Commerce and Defense, taking into account recent advancements in artificial intelligence chips and technologies — some of the most advanced technologies with military applications in the world — they will almost certainly find that the consolidated manufacturing of these products singularly in China and Taiwan particularly is quite precarious and recommend prioritizing domestic production. It would be like being dependent on Russian imports of rocket technologies to build intercontinental ballistic missiles during the Cold War — something that never happened because it would have been too dangerous and given the Soviet Union unnecessary leverage with which to threaten the U.S. Instead, obviously, we had our own rocket program. And so too it will be with chips and other computer technologies — because it must be so in order to protect U.S. national security. Does any rational investor on Wall Street think it will go any other way?

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As Producer And Consumer Prices Fall, Is Inflation Finally In The Rear-View Mirror? https://dailytorch.com/2025/04/as-producer-and-consumer-prices-fall-is-inflation-finally-in-the-rear-view-mirror/

Producer prices dropped 0.4 percent in March, following consumer prices dropping 0.1 percent, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, amid continued drops in food and energy prices, particularly on the producer side, which saw 2.1 percent and 4 percent drops, respectively. These price drops came prior to President Donald Trump’s April announcements of reciprocal tariffs (now paused) and 10 percent tariffs globally except for China, which is currently seeing a 145 percent tariff. Since then, there have been further drops in commodities prices including oil that factor into producer prices. Light sweet crude oil has dropped from $72 a barrel down to $60 a barrel, a 16.6 percent drop. All of which means inflation is falling — and appears poised to continue falling — in spite of repeated predictions by opponents of President Donald Trump’s tariffs of both parties that prices would rise in response to his tariffs on Canada, Mexico, China and the rest of the world. It simply has not happened, with consumer inflation the past 12 months now at 2.4 percent and producer inflation at 2.7 percent. That’s coming off peak consumer inflation of 9.1 percent in June 2022 and producer inflation of 11.3 percent in June 2022. The trend is down and has been. Is inflation finally in the rear-view mirror?

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As Trade Partners Flock To Make A Deal With Trump Before April 9, Congress Would Lock In Trade Imbalances Forever:
https://dailytorch.com/2025/04/as-trade-partners-flock-to-make-a-deal-with-trump-before-april-9-congress-would-lock-in-trade-imbalances-forever/

President Donald Trump says the phone is ringing off the hook with trade partners anxious to make reciprocal trade deals after the President raised tariffs across the board among trade partners on April 2, before April 9 when the tariffs are due to take effect. For example, on April 4 Trump strongly signaled that trade negotiations could be about to with Vietnam after the President levied a 46 percent tariff on that country, writing on Truth Social, “Just had a very productive call with To Lam, General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam, who told me that Vietnam wants to cut their Tariffs down to ZERO if they are able to make an agreement with the U.S. I thanked him on behalf of our Country, and said I look forward to a meeting in the near future.” In the least, this should show that President Trump is open to negotiation, but trade partners should also pay very close attention that the retaliatory tariffs Trump is levying are not just in response to their tariffs, White House trade advisor Peter Navarro warned on CNBC’s Squawk Box this morning on April 7, “Let’s take Vietnam. When they come to us and say ‘we’ll go to zero tariffs,’ that means nothing to us because it’s the nontariff cheating that matters.” The non-tariff barriers include things like subsidies, import bans and perhaps most critically competitive currency devaluations, wherein trade partners devalue their own currencies in order to make the dollar stronger and cheapen the price of exports to the U.S. There, the value of the Vietnamese dong to the U.S. dollar has dropped from 0.00005 in 2011 down to 0.000039 today, a 22 percent decrease. In that time, the trade in goods deficit with Vietnam went from $13 billion in 2011 to $123 billion in 2024, and 846 percent increase, according to data compiled by the U.S. Census Bureau. Obviously, it’s not just Vietnam that is doing this. Except now certain members of Congress want to take away the President’s ability to increase and decrease tariffs, locking in the current trade imbalances forever. For better or for worse, Congress delegated this responsibility in the 1930s to enable Franklin Roosevelt to negotiate reciprocal tariff reductions in the 1930s during the Great Depression. The authority has since shifted to that under the 1974 Trade Act. How about instead let’s give President Trump the space — and leverage — he needs to negotiate better deals with foreign trade partners? The U.S. economy has been sick for a very long time, and it’s time for it to take its medicine.

Urge Congress To Support President Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs!
https://www.votervoice.net/AFLG/campaigns/124583/respond