04.10.2026

Break-even On 2021-2023 Inflation Moves Forward To October 2027 After Attack On Iran Drives Oil Prices Back Up

By Robert Romano Wars are not cheap, and neither are oil shocks, as can be instantly seen in consumer prices that jumped 0.9 percent in March alone, or at a 3.3 percent rate the last 12 months, according to the latest data compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics . That is up from 0.2 percent or 2.4 percent […]

04.03.2026

As Both Unemployment And Employment Dip Again, Keep An Eye On The Shrinking Labor Force

By Robert Romano The U.S. unemployment rate once again dipped in March down to 4.3 percent from its November 2025 peak of 4.5 percent, and the unemployment level dropped by 332,000 in March to 7.2 million, according to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The unemployment level […]

03.11.2026

With Earnings Still Outpacing Inflation For Now, As Oil Prices Spike All Eyes Turn To Strait Of Hormuz

By Robert Romano Consumer inflation edged ever so slightly up to 2.43 percent over the past 12 months in February while average weekly earnings slowed slightly to 4.1 percent, according to the latest data compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, in what might be the last good news on inflation […]

03.06.2026

If You Think The Iran Oil Shock Is Bad Now, Imagine How Bad It Would Have Been If They Ever Got Nukes

By Robert Romano The unemployment rate once again increased to 4.4 percent after decreasing for two consecutive months, as the unemployment level jumped 208,000 to 7.57 million, according to the latest data compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics . The unemployment rate recently peaked in November 2025 at 4.5 percent, and the unemployment level at 7.78 million. Just another 21,000 unemployed and […]

02.24.2026

Private Sector Grew At 2.78 Percent In Fourth Quarter Of 2025 In Spite Of Schumer Shutdown

By Robert Romano “BEA estimates that this reduction in services provided by the federal government subtracted about 1.0 percentage point from real GDP growth in the fourth quarter.” That was the Bureau of Economic Analysis noting that the slowdown in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the fourth quarter of 2025 to 1.4 percent was largely attributable to the federal government shutdown that occurred from Oct. 1, 2025 to Nov. 12, 2025, the […]

02.20.2026

There’s Always Trade Embargoes, Mr. President

By Robert Romano It looks like President Donald Trump will just have to “check the [right] statutory box” and reimpose the reciprocal tariffs following the Supreme Court’s ruling striking down the President’s emergency tariffs from April 2025, effectively overturning Yoshida v. United States that had upheld President Richard Nixon’s across the board tariffs from 1971 […]

02.18.2026

Americans Project Rising Economy And Markets Over Next Six Months Thanks To President Trump

By Bill Wilson While the mainstream media and Democrats looking to snatch back power in the 2026 Congressional midterms would like to do everything they can to convince the American people the economy under President Donald Trump is in a dire state, public sentiment is shifting.    […]

02.13.2026

Break-Even From Bidenflation Moves Up To End Of 2026 From Mid-2027 As Inflation Cools Again

By Robert Romano Consumer prices grew 2.4 percent the past 12 months in January and average weekly earnings grew 4.3 percent , according to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics . Last month, it was inflation at 2.7 percent and earnings at 3.7 percent. That’s a significant improvement and certainly great news for the U.S. economy and households that are still struggling to break even from the inflation that began in […]

02.11.2026

Has The U.S. Economy Turned The Corner As Unemployment Ticks Down To 4.3 Percent?

By Robert Romano The unemployment rate dipped downward again in January to 4.3 percent and the unemployment level down to 7.36 million, according to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics . That’s the second month in a row, when the most recent peak was in November 2025 at 4.5 percent or 7.78 million after rising from its prior low of 3.4 […]

01.30.2026

Why Americans Are Still Feeling The Inflation That Began In 2021—And Won’t Break Even Until Mid-2027

By Robert Romano Producer inflation for goods was unchanged in December, according to the latest data compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), including food and energy, which decreased 0.3 percent and 1.4 percent respectively. That is fairly good news, but it is somewhat overshadowed by overall producer prices increasing 0.5 percent, more than expected, including goods besides […]

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