02.12.2020 0

Two-way race with Sanders and Buttigieg after N.H., Biden, Warren campaigns are on life support

Bernie takes New Hampshire from Mayor Pete as two-way race emerges, Biden, Warren on the ropes:
http://dailytorch.com/2020/02/bernie-takes-new-hampshire-from-mayor-pete-as-two-way-race-emerges-biden-warren-on-the-ropes/

A two-way race has emerged in the Democratic presidential nomination as Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-Vt.), a self-professed democratic socialist, narrowly defeated former Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-Ind.) in the all-important New Hampshire primary, 25.7 percent to 24.4 percent. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and former Vice President Joe Biden (D-Del.) were distant fourth and fifth place showings, putting their campaigns on life support without wins in the first two contests. This could be their political swan songs. Now, late-deciding voters in subsequent contests will likely choose between Sanders and Buttigieg — which is what usually happens. In more than three-quarters of the years where no incumbent Democrat was running for president — 1976, 1984, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2016 — the nominee had won either Iowa or New Hampshire. It’s winner’s bias. Iowa and New Hampshire narrow the field. If you start off losing, and losing badly, then it’s harder to make a case that your campaign is viable. Do you donate money? Time? Energy? Or do you bet on the candidates who have a shot? History suggests the latter. What do you think?

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