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09.10.2019

Trump could hit migrant caravan organizers w/ sanctions for mass human trafficking

Trump should hit organizers of migrant caravan with sanctions as border migration down 55 percent since May:
http://dailytorch.com/2019/09/trump-should-hit-organizers-of-migrant-caravan-with-sanctions-as-border-migration-down-55-percent-since-may/

Apprehensions on the southern border slowed precipitously in August to 64,006 as illegal immigration was curtailed, the latest data from U.S. Customs and Border Patrol shows. Migration is down 55 percent from its peak in May 144,255 as people continue fleeing Central America in droves. But is it enough? The organizers of the caravans, Village Without Borders, remain fully operational throughout Mexico and Central America with the stated purpose of facilitating people to make the dangerous journey north into the U.S. illegally and building shelters along migration routes, with almost 1 million being sent in the past 12 months alone. So, why are they allowed to operate? President Trump is authorized under federal law to sanction human traffickers and could slap economic and financial penalties on Village Without Borders. And to the extent the group operates and raises money in the U.S., the Justice Department could take action and work with Mexican prosecutors to make certain the label sticks on both sides of the border. What do you think?

09.04.2019

Trump is right, the dollar is too strong, and it’s hurting exports — here’s what he can do about it

Trump is right, the strong dollar is hurting U.S. goods exports, data shows. Here’s what he, the Fed and Treasury can do about it.
http://dailytorch.com/2019/09/trump-is-right-the-strong-dollar-is-hurting-u-s-goods-exports-data-shows-heres-what-he-the-fed-and-treasury-can-do-about-it/

The strong dollar has historically been linked to declines in U.S. goods exports, including manufacturing, an analysis of U.S. Census Bureau and Federal Reserve data shows, predating the tenure of President Donald Trump and his tariffs. This vindicates contentions by Trump, who has been hammering the Fed for months over what he says is the dollar being too strong relative to foreign currencies including the Chinese yuan and the euro. Turns out, Trump is right. And he is not powerless to do something about it. The President could direct Treasury Secretary Mnuchin to work with the Federal Reserve Board of Governors to engineer a dollar devaluation, using the Exchange Stabilization Fund to buy foreign currencies and then selling them directly to the Fed. What do you think?

08.29.2019

Is the Fed sabotaging the economy to make sure Trump loses in 2020?

Should the Federal Reserve tank the economy to hurt President Trump in the 2020 election? One former Fed governor thinks so.
http://dailytorch.com/2019/08/should-the-federal-reserve-tank-the-economy-to-hurt-president-trump-in-the-2020-election-one-former-fed-governor-thinks-so/

Former New York Federal Reserve President Bill Dudley has come out to say he thinks that “the election itself falls within the Fed’s purview,” and that the central bank ought to do whatever it takes to make certain President Donald Trump loses the 2020 presidential election. “Trump’s reelection arguably presents a threat to the U.S. and global economy, to the Fed’s independence and its ability to achieve its employment and inflation objectives,” Dudley wrote. Under 12 U.S.C. Section 242, “each member [of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors] shall hold office for a term of fourteen years from the expiration of the term of his predecessor, unless sooner removed for cause by the President.” If the President has reason to believe that members of the central bank are acting politically, he can remove them under the law. Something the Board of Governors should keep in mind when it meets again in September. What do you think?

08.28.2019

China has 3 million in concentration camps and harvests their organs, so why do we trade with them?

China keeps 3 million in concentration camps, harvests prisoners’ organs, threatens Hong Kong and Taiwan daily and is arming North Korea. So why are we trading with them?
http://dailytorch.com/2019/08/china-keeps-3-million-in-concentration-camps-harvests-prisoners-organs-threatens-hong-kong-and-taiwan-daily-and-is-arming-north-korea-so-why-are-we-trading-with-them/

China is alleged to harvest the organs of thousands of political dissidents it keeps in concentration camps, its humanitarian record is otherwise abysmal, it threatens Hong Kong and Taiwan daily, it appears to be funding and assisting the North Korean nuclear missile program and is using the hundreds of billions of dollars of trade deficits to build a first rate navy to defeat us (every year’s trade deficit pays for more than two years of China’s military spending). So why are we trading with China and underwriting this totalitarian regime and mass murder with $380 billion of trade deficits every year?

08.27.2019

A primary challenge of Trump will almost certainly fail and may cost GOP 2020 election and Congress

Primary challengers of sitting presidents never win, even strong ones, and neither does their party:
http://dailytorch.com/2019/08/primary-challengers-of-sitting-presidents-never-win-even-strong-ones-and-neither-does-their-party/

Any Republican supporting a primary challenge against President Donald Trump for the Republican nomination in 2020, if it is successful or even if it just hampers the primary process, is virtually guaranteeing the next president will be a Democrat who will nominate the next Supreme Court and sign laws like the Green New Deal, socialized medicine and universal income. Every single one of the one-term presidents of the 20th Century — William Howard Taft, Herbert Hoover, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush — all faced strong primary challenges. Harry Truman and Lyndon Johnson both withdrew their candidacies from the elections of 1952 and 1968 respectively in the face of a strong primary challengers. In every one of these instances, the opposition party won. Every single time. All of which make such a primary challenge of Trump ill-advised, that is, if Republicans are in the business of winning elections. What do you think?

08.26.2019

Trump’s sanctions and tariffs against China will likely stay in place even after Trump leaves office

President Trump hits China with more tariffs, sanctions on fentanyl and threatens broader economic sanctions — and it’s about time:
http://dailytorch.com/2019/08/president-trump-hits-china-with-more-tariffs-plus-sanctions-on-fentanyl-and-its-about-time/

President Donald Trump stepped up the pressure on China last week by leveling sanctions against Beijing for its role in bringing tons of fentanyl to the U.S. that has killed more Americans than the Lusitania and Sept. 11, 2001 combined, plus a new round of tariffs to keep the pressure on Beijing to come to the table on trade. To top it all off, Trump threatened broader economic sanctions on China and urged U.S. companies to leave, citing authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to block transactions upon declaration of an emergency. Dialogue, of course, is preferred, but Beijing appears more interested in inflicting damage on the U.S. than talking ahead of the 2020 election in the hopes the American people elect a more acquiescent candidate. We’ll see, but history teaches it’s usually not a good idea to bet against America. What do you think?

08.23.2019

If the Fed conducts monetary policy then why doesn’t it pay attention to exchange rates?

Trump is not wrong about interest rates and the strong dollar, but does the Fed have any ammunition to do anything about it?
http://dailytorch.com/2019/08/trump-is-not-wrong-about-interest-rates-and-the-strong-dollar-but-does-the-fed-have-any-ammunition-to-do-anything-about-it/

President Donald Trump is not wrong. Relative to other countries, interest rates in the U.S., as low as they currently are, are higher relative to our trading partners. And the federal funds rate at 2 percent to 2.25 percent is well above the 10-year treasury and have been inverted since May and so has the 10-year, 3-month treasuries spread. In the meantime, the U.S. dollar versus the Chinese yuan and the euro remains quite strong, making exports to the U.S. much cheaper. But even if it started aggressively cutting rates right now, can the Fed really do much about it? We were at near-zero percent on the federal funds rate and did trillions of dollars of quantitative easing during the Obama administration and growth was still tepid as we lost market share to China. Is monetary policy out of bullets?

08.22.2019

Trump ends China’s rare earth monopoly as Pentagon moves to build up processing in the U.S.

Trump ends China’s monopoly on rare earths as Pentagon rapidly pushes for domestic mining and processing, invoking 1950 Defense Production Act:
http://dailytorch.com/2019/08/trump-ends-chinas-monopoly-on-rare-earths-as-pentagon-rapidly-pushes-for-domestic-mining-and-processing-invoking-1950-defense-production-act/

In a strong boost for the U.S. position in ongoing trade negotiations with China, it looks like Beijing’s monopoly on rare earth minerals used in smart phones, computers and high-tech military hardware is coming to an end as the U.S. Defense Department makes a big push for domestic processing of the sought-after materials. Just one less thing Beijing can hold over U.S. trade negotiators’ heads, and surely strengthens the U.S. position in those talks. China had placed a tariff on rare earths that were being shipped there for processing, but Beijing was never going to permanently be allowed to have a monopoly on elements essential to national security. Unlike his predecessors Bush and Obama, the American people can thank President Trump for that. What do you think?

08.21.2019

We all better hope President Trump is successful in striking a trade deal with China

Love President Trump or hate him, everyone including President Xi should be rooting for his China trade deal:
http://dailytorch.com/2019/08/love-president-trump-or-hate-him-everyone-including-president-xi-should-be-rooting-for-his-china-trade-deal/

If you’re a Republican or a Democrat or an independent, whether you like free trade or think it has hurt the U.S. economy the past three decades, if you’re in business with China or from China yourself, even Chinese President Xi Jinping, you should be rooting for President Donald Trump to succeed in his trade negotiations with Beijing. Ultimately, a deal with China will set the stage for the rest of the century and determine whether we can find a way to resolve our very real differences on competitive currency devaluations that Beijing uses to boost exports, intellectual property theft and forced technology transfer, and sanctions against U.S. exporters, or if we are on a collision course for conflict. One need look no further than to the threat the 7.3 million people of Hong Kong or 23.6 million people of Taiwan constantly live under, or the continued nuclear threat from North Korea, to comprehend the threat that running a $380 billion trade deficit poses — more than twice China’s annual $152 billion defense budget. What’s better, trade or a war?

08.19.2019

The Trump economy is doing way better than the Obama economy at this point in the presidency

Up or down, President Trump owns the economy—and he has a lot to be proud of:
http://dailytorch.com/2019/08/up-or-down-president-trump-owns-the-economy-and-he-has-a-lot-to-be-proud-of/

Compared to this point in Obama’s first term, the Trump economy is great. 2018 was the strongest year for growth since 2005, and unemployment at 3.7 percent is still at its lowest point in 50 years since 1969. Obama got reelected with 7.8 percent unemployment in the final reading before the 2012 election. Almost 5.2 million jobs have been created since Jan. 2017 when President Donald Trump took office in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ household survey. That blows the Obama out of the water. At this point in his first term, the Obama economy had not produced a single job. How do you think the economy has fared since 2016?

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