Manzanita Miller

Manzanita Miller is the senior political analyst at Americans for Limited Government Foundation.

Manzanita Miller
11.06.2026

Economic Issues Were The Driving Force Pushing Swing Voters Back Toward Democrats On Election Night

By Manzanita Miller In the 2024 Presidential Election, President Donald Trump made historic inroads with swing voters, notably young people, Hispanics, and Black voters. On Election Night in the 2026 congressional midterms, economic issues erased much of those gains and pushed swing voters back toward Democrats. Tuesday’s […]

11.04.2026

Democrats Win Both House And Senate But Voters Are Cautious On If Democrats Will Be Better For The Economy And Still Give The GOP Credit On Immigration

By Manzanita Miller Democrats flipped at least seven Senate seats on Election Night, winning back control of the U.S. Senate, and gained 25 House seats giving them a majority in both chambers. This sets up a thorny political road for the remaining two years of President Donald […]

10.30.2026

Trump Is Delivering On Border Security With The Lowest Number Of Illegal Border Crossings In U.S. History In FY 2026

By Manzanita Miller Open borders policies pushed by Democrats over the last decade had become so commonplace that politicians who stood against these policies were considered unelectable. But President Donald Trump ran — and won twice — on a promise to make the country safer and enforce […]

10.28.2026

As Election Day Approaches, New FBI Statistics Show Crime Plummeting To Numbers Not Seen Since 1950s Under President Trump

By Manzanita Miller According to crime statistics released Aug. 24 from the FBI , which aggregate data from the previous year to calculate crime rates, violent crime fell 9.3 percent in 2025, the sharpest year-over-year decline since the FBI began aggregating crime data in 1936. While liberal skeptics are reluctant […]

10.25.2026

New York Times Poll Shows Tighter Senate Race Than September as Latinos, Young People, And Independents Move Right

By Manzanita Miller The latest New York Times/Siena College poll of 3,494 voters, conducted from Oct. 12–19, reveals that the battle for the U.S. Senate is tightening with just days ahead of congressional midterm election compared to Times/Siena polling conducted Sept. 8–13. The overall spread is closer in the […]

10.20.2026

Races Tighten With Election Day Around Corner As Democrats Plot To Retake The U.S. Senate

By Manzanita Miller With Republicans holding a 53–47 majority in the U.S. Senate, Democrats must pick up a net of four Senate seats in order to gain a majority on Election Day. Two weeks out from the election, Senate races are tightening in key contests across the […]

10.15.2026

Not So Fast In Michigan: Warning Signs Emerge for Democrats As Swing Voter Support Declines Compared To 2022

By Manzanita Miller What looked like an alarming rise of left-wing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan U.S. Senate race may not materialize on Election Day, putting the seat that Democrats have held since 1979 in play this November. Just over two weeks out from Election Day, […]

10.13.2026

Illegal Aliens Are Counted During The Census And Used to Allocate Congressional Power, Trump Is Trying to Change It

By Manzanita Miller Americans are well aware of the issues that stem from allowing large numbers of illegal aliens into the United States, from cheap foreign labor to abuse of welfare systems and legitimate concerns about illegal voting. But there is another glaring issue that illegal immigration […]

10.08.2026

Warning Signs For Democrats In North Carolina With Absentee Vote Down Compared To 2022

By Manzanita Miller With the November midterm election under a month out, there has been speculation about whether turnout will differ in 2026 compared to 2022, with absentee voting patterns raising particular interest. New data out of North Carolina, which began sending out absentee ballots to voters […]

10.06.2026

Less Than A Month Out From The Election Manufacturing Picks Up For Ninth Consecutive Month

By Manzanita Miller With the congressional midterm election less than a month away and economic issues at the forefront of voters’ minds, a new report on the U.S. manufacturing sector brings bright news. Thanks in part to President Donald Trump’s commitment to tariffs on foreign goods and […]

10.01.2026

Reasons To Question A Democrat Sweep in November: Economic Woes Don’t Automatically Translate To Democrat Wins And Immigration Is A GOP Victory

By Manzanita Miller While the latest generic congressional ballot average shows Democrats ahead by 8.3 points, individual surveys show a closer ballot. A comprehensive Harvard CAPS-Harris poll taken Sept. 26 to Sept. 28 sheds light onto what generic congressional ballot surveys are missing. There is a strong disconnect between voters’ economic […]

09.29.2026

Deportation Didn’t Reduce Support For Trump’s Immigration Agenda Since January — It Increased It

By Manzanita Miller President Donald Trump ran on a bold immigration approach to undo the harm caused by the Biden Administration’s disastrous open borders policies and years of neglect of the law that left criminals and gang members roaming through U.S. cities for decades despite legal orders […]

09.24.2026

New Polls Show Dem Lead Smaller Than 2018 Midterms, Plus, Do Republicans Have Advantage In Maine?

By Manzanita Miller   While Democrats have maintained a lead in most midterm polls over the past three months, there are signals that the blue wave could be somewhat blunted in November. An NBC News survey shows Democrats ahead by less than they were at the same point […]

09.22.2026

Promises Made And Kept As ICE Sets Record For Most Arrests For Third Consecutive Month With Nearly 51,000 Arrests In August

By Manzanita Miller Data released Sept. 2 from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) finds that after breaking the threshold for the most illegal alien arrests in a single month in July 2026, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) surpassed that number again in August . Arrests are continuing in September, with ICE deporting […]

09.17.2026

Michigan Voters Openly Fear El-Sayed Is Too Radical, Yet He Leads In Polls: What Could This Mean?

By Manzanita Miller Michigan voters believe radical leftist Abdul El-Sayed, who is vying for the U.S. Senate seat left open by Sen. Gary Peters, is too radical for the state. However, El-Sayed has maintained a moderate lead over former U.S. Representative Mike Rogers in polling for months […]

09.15.2026

Strong Majority Of Americans Support Force And Sanctions To Keep Iran From Controlling Strait Of Hormuz

By Manzanita Miller The conflict with Iran could continue past the midterm election according to President Donald Trump, but the Trump administration’s efforts to retake control of the critical Strait of Hormuz and to keep oil flowing are beginning to pay off. Speaking Sept. 13 at the […]

09.10.2026

Can Minnesota Stop Radical Leftist Peggy Flanagan And Send An America First Conservative To The U.S. Senate?

By Manzanita Miller The race to fill the U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota previously held by Democrat Tina Smith, who is not seeking reelection, could give Minnesota Republicans a voice in the Senate for the first time in 24 years and stop one of the most left-wing […]

09.09.2026

Will Democrats Really Run Kamala Harris Again In 2028? Plus, How The Other Contenders Stack Up in Early Polls

By Manzanita Miller The start of the early 2028 presidential election campaign season is still a good six to twelve months away, but early polls looking at the landscape offer some surprising, and not so surprising, data on the potential 2028 Democratic contenders. While the path for […]

09.03.2026

Three Reasons Democrats May Not Have The Midterms In The Bag: Polling Bias, Polling Shifts, And Swing Voter Apathy

By Manzanita Miller With the midterm election two months away, Democrats are maintaining an advantage of over five points in the latest generic congressional ballot average — an average that includes both likely voters and U.S. adults depending on the survey — but there are reasons to […]

09.02.2026

Poll: President Trump’s Approval Improved After Victories On Crime, Immigration And Manufacturing

By Manzanita Miller President Donald Trump’s net approval rating — while still underwater — marginally increased over the month of August, as the administration is finally receiving credit for a number of victories, including an expanding U.S. manufacturing sector, a continued deportation push, and plummeting crime numbers […]

08.28.2026

Yes, Trump Is Still Delivering On Deportation With Nearly 50,000 Arrests Of Illegals In July Alone

By Manzanita Miller New data on arrests of illegal immigrants from Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) reveals that the Trump Administration is delivering on deportation, with nearly 50,000 arrests of illegal aliens made in the month of July alone. This marks the most arrests in a single […]

08.25.2026

Nearly Half Of Eligible Voters Are Now Gen Z And Millennials – And They Aren’t Necessarily Supporting Democrats

By Manzanita Miller   In a midterm year where the GOP is the party in control of the White House and Congress, historical precedent dictates that the out-of-power party usually harnesses a surge of motivation to reclaim power in the election. Two and a half months out […]

08.21.2026

Public Still Largely Supports Deportation For Most Undocumented Immigrants And Curbing The Number Of Asylum Seekers

By Manzanita Miller While mainstream news media and the Democratic establishment are continuously up in arms over President Donald Trump’s deportation of illegal aliens and reform of the U.S. asylum program, voters largely support deporting illegal aliens and believe the number of asylum seekers should be decreased […]

08.18.2026

Conservative Latinos Identify As Americans First: Why That Matters

By Manzanita Miller Over 36 million Latinos will be eligible to vote in the midterm cycle this November, with sizable populations in states with the most competitive House races in the country, including California, Florida, Nevada, and Texas. New research from the Pew Research Center reveals that Latino identity is closely tied to […]

08.13.2026

Dr. Fauci’s Messages Reveal He Thought Covid Vaccine Might Pose Pregnancy Risk, But CDC Pushed Pregnant Women To Get It Anyway

By Manzanita Miller On August 10, Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) and Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) released to the public text messages sent on Dr. Anthony Fauci’s former government phone related to the Covid vaccine during Dr. Fauci’s tenure as Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID). The […]

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