Manzanita Miller

Manzanita Miller is the senior political analyst at Americans for Limited Government Foundation.

Manzanita Miller
06.12.2026

Steve Hilton Flipped Multiple Farmland And Wealthy Coastal Counties Red In CA Governor Race 

By Manzanita Miller   The June 2 gubernatorial race in California has Republican candidate Steve Hilton exceeding pre-election polls and headed to the November general election to face the top Democrat pick, former Biden Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra.    As of this writing 94 percent of […]

06.09.2026

Democrats’ Lead Among Young Voters Has Halved Over The Past Eight Years

By Manzanita Miller In a midterm cycle where President Donald Trump is attempting to wrangle inflation and end a costly foreign conflict, it is reasonable to expect that Democrats would regain ground with swing voters they have lost over the past eight years. However, that does not […]

06.08.2026

California Voters Demand Change As GOP Gubernatorial Candidate Steve Hilton Could Advance To Runoff

By Manzanita Miller   The most populous state in the country is locked in a battle to count thousands of absentee ballots that will determine the outcome of Tuesday’s gubernatorial race, but California appears to have voted GOP candidate Steve Hilton into the November runoff, giving Republicans […]

06.03.2026

The Collapse of Democrat Hispanic Support: Down 30 Points Since 2018

By Manzanita Miller With President Donald Trump’s approval rating underwater by over seventeen points and the GOP facing criticism over inflation and the Iran war in a critical midterm election, we would expect swing voters to be flocking to Democrats. Despite inflation and the Iran war creating strong […]

05.29.2026

Trump-Backed Candidates Are Cleaning House In The GOP Primaries So Far

By Manzanita Miller Despite an approval rating that is underwater largely due to the double-punch of inflation reaching a three-year-high in April and the Iran war continuing to drive up fuel costs, President Donald Trump’s endorsement in the GOP primaries this spring has proven powerful. Across a slate of […]

05.27.2026

Survey Of Weak Democrats Shows Massive Fracture Over Immigration And Transgender Agenda

By Manzanita Miller The latest New York Times/Siena College survey of potential Democrat voters and independent voters highlights the Democrat Party’s failures and illuminates a path for conservatives to attract disenfranchised soft Democrats. Hispanic and Black Democrats and men are growing particularly weary of the party’s failures on […]

05.22.2026

Newly Released FBI Preliminary Data Shows Crime Plummeted Under President Trump’s First Year In Office 

By Manzanita Miller President Donald Trump made tackling crime, particularly in cities that had become unsafe for residents due to lax sentencing and harmful sanctuary policies, a cornerstone of his administration. Data compiling crime statistics is often delayed several months, which means the FBI’s preliminary findings on […]

05.19.2026

Poll: Immigration Is Single Most Effective Issue At Moving The Needle For Republicans In Midterms

By Manzanita Miller While Republicans are facing an uphill battle heading into the 2026 Congressional midterm cycle with the headwinds of the Iran war, and its costly impact on fuel prices driving inflation, there is a core issue that drastically shifts the needle in Republicans’ favor according […]

05.15.2026

Early Vote For California Gubernatorial Primary Shows Conservative Voter Turnout Leading 

By Manzanita Miller With the June 2 California gubernatorial primary election two weeks out, early voting data shows turnout among Republicans, as well as older voters, a group that leans conservative, outpacing other groups.    California voters head to the polls on June 2 where voters will decide […]

05.13.2026

Mixed Economic Picture As Manufacturing Expands And Job Growth Beats Expectations, But Unemployment And Inflation Persist

By Manzanita Miller While the unemployment rate rose slightly in April, from 4.26 percent to 4.34, the U.S. economy added jobs at a rate that exceeded expectations last month. The Department of Labor reported the economy added 115,000 new jobs in April according to a May 8 report . That […]

05.08.2026

Better Economic Outlook Improves Hispanic Perspective on Trump And The GOP

By Manzanita Miller   While tackling inflation is still a top priority for Americans, a positive direction on economic indicators like the stock market and jobs — including unemployment still low at 4.3 percent in April — is earning President Donald Trump a significant bump in approval among Hispanic voters, with the President’s approval rating rising […]

05.06.2026

Republicans Have A Serious Shot of Winning The Governor’s Race In California For The First Time In 20 Years

By Manzanita Miller California has become synonymous with costly, unsafe, tax-and-spend policies that drive businesses and families out of the state, but Republicans have a serious shot at reclaiming the governor’s mansion for the first time in decades this November, and that says a lot about how […]

05.01.2026

A Quiet Manufacturing Boom Is Taking Off As Companies Return To The U.S. To Do Business 

By Manzanita Miller One of President Donald Trump’s electoral promises was to use a slate of incentives and disincentives, including his tariffs on foreign goods, to persuade businesses to move back to the United States, and just over fourteen months into his second term it appears to […]

04.29.2026

Are Mainstream Surveys Underestimating Conservatives? New Survey Of Likely Voters Shows 50-50 Dead Heat In November

By Manzanita Miller With the midterm election just over six months away, the race for congressional control is tightening. While there is no shortage of surveys that show Democrats ahead of Republicans by as much as five percentage points, a new Harvard CAPS-HarrisX survey that isolates likely […]

04.24.2026

Republicans Haven’t Lost Significant Ground In The Generic Congressional Ballot Due To Iran War — Yet 

By Manzanita Miller   While the war with Iran has taken a toll on President Donald Trump’s approval rating, Republicans have not yet suffered in the generic congressional ballot by as much as readers might expect. In fact, it is Democrats that have suffered losses among core […]

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