Can the Fed engineer another recession before Nov. 2020?

By Robert Romano Recession warning lights are flashing predictably after the Federal Reserve has finally ended quantitative easing — it’s now dumping $50 billion of government and mortgage bonds a month—and short-term interest rates have risen. The 10-year-3-month treasuries spread inverted on March 22, and the 10-year-2-year and the 10-year-federal-funds-rate do not […]


7.6 million job openings tell you the Trump economy is still growing

By Robert Romano Job openings rose to nearly 7.6 million in January, data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows , outpacing unemployment of just 6.2 million for the eleventh straight month. And that unquestionably means that the U.S. economy under President Donald Trump is still expanding. There are more job openings than job seekers, […]


A St. Patrick’s Day lesson for Ireland on good tax policy

By Rick Manning As originally published at TheHill.com. One of the enduring legends associated with Patrick, Patron Saint of Ireland — whose feast day many of us will celebrate Sunday — is the sprouting into a living tree of the ash walking stick he planted into the soil of Aspatria. Similarly, investment […]


Cartoon: Bad to the Bone


The white, non-Hispanic working age population shrank slightly in 2018 but is still creating more jobs in the Trump economy

By Robert Romano One America News Network’s Ryan Girdusky made a big splash on March 8 noting a Quinnipiac poll out of the state of Texas pitting President Donald Trump against Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) in which Trump only garners 70 percent of the white, no-college-degree vote, compared to 2016 when CNN said he got 76 percent in Texas . The real split in the poll is among independents. Trump does […]


Ivanka Trump is right. The Trump economy continues to bring more working age adults off the sidelines.

By Robert Romano One of the biggest problems with the U.S. economy has been the continued decline of working age adults since 2000 — that is, those aged 16-to-64-years-olds — who have left the labor force. Labor participation among working aged adults was almost 77.4 percent in […]


Government does not create jobs

By Rick Manning Government does not create jobs, the private sector creates jobs. This is the basic rule that gets obscured in the political back and forth over the economy.  And truthfully, it is very tempting to forget when you work for the government focused upon trying […]


Trump was right. Record goods trade deficit with China at $419 billion in 2018 underscores importance of trade agenda.

By Robert Romano We’re going to need a bigger tariff. It is hard to come to any other conclusion as the trade in goods deficit with China hit a record high in 2018 at $419.1 billion according to the U.S. Census Bureau , in the same year President Donald Trump levied 10 percent tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods shipped to […]


While not quite 3 percent yet, 2018 was the strongest economy since 2005 on growth and jobs

By Robert Romano President Donald Trump’s second year in office marked the strongest economic growth since 2005 at 2.9 percent, according to data compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis , beating every one of President Barack Obama’s years in office — for now. It was by a nose, and the numbers are still subject to revision. Obama’s strongest year was 2015, […]


U.S.-China tech balance of power at risk in FTC case

By Rick Manning Protection of intellectual property is one of the primary stumbling blocks in the ongoing trade negotiations between the United States and China. It is not being hyperbolic to say that China’s long-standing and on-going demands that intellectual property rights be relinquished by businesses accessing […]

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